Riding the Waves

Last year, I said that the waive of credit defaults was just beginning. First to go were those subprime loans which should never have been done in the first place, many a result of fraud and/or greed in the mortgage and real estate business. It was obvious that these loans would default. Debt and payment ratios were out of whack, in both mortgages and auto loans, and it was inevitable that these loans would go bad sooner or later.

The second waves of defaults were people who initially could afford their loans, but severe income reductions or unemployment left them unable to pay their bills. No one expected the economy to turn around so badly or abruptly, and people making good money suddenly found themselves in the situation where their payments exceeded their income. This group probably includes those newbie investors, who bought investment properties with little or no down payments, and found themselves unable to pay the mortgage or sell the property. Buyers were scarce, and mortgage money dried up. Values crashed, and many of these folks walked away from their investment properties, trying to save their primary homes.

Now we come to the third wave - folks who can still pay their mortgages or car payments, but owed so much more than the collateral is worth that they are simply walking away. Credit scores are getting trashed, but what's worse is that these folks don't understand how to deal with their newly damaged credit. People with 700+ credit scores are finding themselves faced with the prospect of trying to secure credit with a score, in some cases in the low 50o's or even lower.

For the most part, the customers care little about the consequences of their actions. Many are still under the assumption that, because “everyone is doing it”, defaulting on their loans shouldn’t matter, and they should still be entitled to low interest rates and no stip loans. They balked at providing proof of income, or phone bills and references, figuring the lender shouldn’t require and documentation for their loan. However, lenders I deal with are now asking even good credit customers for POI and POR.

Many dealers I talk to have cut back their subprime departments, finding it too difficult to do these deals anymore. Prime deals are getting tougher, and F&I profits are shrinking. But faced with the new waive of subprime customers; maybe dealerships shouldn’t completely abandon special finance. Now is the time to put your ace in the game, the special finance expert you hired to help get through these tough times. Lender relationships, knowing what deals to send to what lenders, will help dealers sell more cars, make more money, and earn new customers who appreciate a true professional, who can guide them through this newly uncharted territory they face.

I’d like to think we’re starting to see the light at the end of the credit tunnel. I just hope it’s not the headlight from the oncoming train!